Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.028483 0.031198 0.033880 0.036723 0.039647 0.042562 0.045681
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.023030 0.027402 0.031837 0.036648 0.041694 0.046811 0.052372
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.019575 0.025066 0.030765 0.037055 0.043750 0.050620 0.058163
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.016099 0.022309 0.028905 0.036310 0.044297 0.052577 0.061744
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.013690 0.020474 0.027835 0.036221 0.045363 0.054917 0.065562
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.011482 0.018670 0.026647 0.035866 0.046019 0.056707 0.068685
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.009461 0.016916 0.025393 0.035331 0.046383 0.058099 0.071296
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.007205 0.014689 0.023472 0.033950 0.045734 0.058320 0.072577
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.006446 0.014248 0.023575 0.034808 0.047513 0.061136 0.076611
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.005370 0.013302 0.023023 0.034870 0.048366 0.062904 0.079473
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003990 0.011807 0.021737 0.034030 0.048164 0.063477 0.081000
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003202 0.011048 0.021303 0.034146 0.049005 0.065169 0.083716
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002119 0.009795 0.020326 0.033752 0.049433 0.066588 0.086350
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001230 0.008664 0.019481 0.033529 0.050091 0.068310 0.089375
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000691 0.007968 0.019154 0.033898 0.051406 0.070745 0.093167
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000116 0.006704 0.017971 0.033172 0.051415 0.071687 0.095280
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.005890 0.017341 0.033085 0.052133 0.073395 0.098212
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.005011 0.016540 0.032741 0.052521 0.074703 0.100673
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004121 0.015634 0.032223 0.052671 0.075718 0.102784
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002952 0.014139 0.030888 0.051811 0.075554 0.103553
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002804 0.014315 0.031717 0.053526 0.078313 0.107570
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002359 0.013925 0.031777 0.054300 0.079981 0.110352
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001639 0.012908 0.030965 0.053998 0.080396 0.111712